Emanuele Silvio Gentile, Dr

Weather-Focused Quantitative Analyst @ Nanook | Energy & Commodity Markets

prof_pic_new.jpg

City of London,

United Kingdom

I am a weather-focused quantitative analyst at an energy and commodity hedge fund, as well as an atmospheric physicist and weather and climate modeler with a background in theoretical physics. My work sits at the intersection of weather forecasting, AI-driven environmental analytics, and risk-sensitive decision systems for energy and commodity markets. I focus on the development, evaluation, and scaling of weather analytics and forecasting platforms, combining expertise in numerical weather prediction (NWP), AI-based forecasting systems, and statistical post-processing for applications in energy and commodity trading. In addition, I act as an interface between quantitative research, technology and data engineering, and trading teams, helping translate atmospheric processes and forecast uncertainty into actionable analytical frameworks and operational tools..

Alongside operational and applied forecasting work, I maintain a strong research background in km-scale climate modelling, boundary-layer turbulence, and extreme weather dynamics. My previous research combined high-resolution climate models, large-ensemble simulations, and higher-order turbulence representations to investigate how moist convection and sub-grid processes shape near-surface extremes and large-scale atmospheric circulation under climate change. More broadly, my work bridges physically interpretable atmospheric science with applications in energy, financial risk, and climate-risk analytics.

Before transitioning to a commodity-focused hedge fund as a weather-focused quantitative analyst, I worked as a Research Scientist at NCAS and University of Reading within the CANARI project, running very high resolution simulations to assess how climate change is altering heavy precipitation, inland flooding, and extreme winds across the UK and North Atlantic region. I also contributed to the Climate and Finance cluster, by bridging physical climate science, uncertainty quantification, and climate-risk assessment.

Previously, I worked for nearly three years at GFDL/NOAA and Princeton University as a Postdoctoral Research Associate, with Dr Ming Zhao and Dr Leo Donner, to unify the treatment of boundary-layer turbulence, moist convection, and clouds implementing the higher-order turbulence scheme Cloud Layers Unified By Binormals within the world-class GFDL atmospheric climate model AM4, in close collaboration with Prof Vince Larson, Dr Julio Bacmeister, Prof Gunilla Svensson, and Prof Colin Zarzycki.

I began my career with a First-Class Honours in Theoretical Physics from Imperial College London, where I was awarded the Tessella Prize for the innovative application of computational methods in physics. My PhD in Atmosphere, Ocean, and Climate at the University of Reading, under Prof. Suzanne Gray and Dr. Huw Lewis, examined turbulent air-sea fluxes and their influence on midlatitude cyclones’ extreme winds.

In my leisure time, I enjoy latin dances, playing volleyball and tennis, playing the piano in music ensembles, reading books, preparing delicious meals for my friends, and venturing into nature through hikes. Additionally, I love exploring new countries and their cultures, having recently backpacked in the Sahara.

news

May 10, 2026 📄 Preprint on AI weather prediction now published — A process-based evaluation of how the AI model GraphCast represents the global diurnal cycle of summer precipitation, compared with satellite observations, ERA5, and a global 5-km convection-permitting model. The original preprint is available on ESS Open Archive: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2025GL120961
Apr 20, 2026 I am excited to have joined Nanook Energy Advisors as a Weather-Focused Quantitative Analyst!
Mar 18, 2026 🚀 Project on GPU-accelerated ML weather modelling now concluded — check out the blog post here!

selected publications

  1. ESSOAr
    The CANARI HadGEM3 Large Ensemble: Design, and evaluation of historical experiments
    Reinhard K. H. Schiemann, Grenville Lister, Rosalyn Hatcher, and 41 more authors
    Geoscientific Model Development, 2026
    Preprint
  2. GRL
    Global Diurnal Precipitation Cycle in the AI Model GraphCast and a 5-km Unified Model: Challenges and Opportunities
    Emanuele Silvio Gentile, Kieran M. R. Hunt, Lorenzo Tomassini, and 2 more authors
    Geophysical Research Letters, 2026
  3. GRL
    Response of extreme North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones to a warmer climate in the GFDL X-SHiELD kilometer-scale global storm-resolving model
    Emanuele Silvio Gentile, Lucas Harris, Ming Zhao, and 4 more authors
    Geophysical Research Letters, 2025
  4. JAMES
    The effect of coupling between CLUBB turbulence scheme and surface momentum flux on global wind simulations
    Emanuele Silvio Gentile, Ming Zhao, Vincent E. Larson, and 2 more authors
    Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2024
  5. npj Clim Atmos Sci
    Poleward intensification of midlatitude extreme winds under warmer climate
    Emanuele Silvio Gentile, Ming Zhao, and Kevin Hodges
    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2023
  6. Int J Climatol
    Attribution of observed extreme marine wind speeds and associated hazards to midlatitude cyclone conveyor belt jets near the British Isles
    Emanuele S. Gentile and Suzanne L. Gray
    International Journal of Climatology, 2023
  7. ESSOAr
    Enhancing Great Plains Nocturnal Precipitation and Low-Level Jets in AM4 with an Extended CLUBB Closure
    Emanuele Silvio Gentile, Vincent E. Larson, Ming Zhao, and 2 more authors
    2025
    Preprint
  8. WCD
    The crucial representation of deep convection for the cyclogenesis of Medicane Ianos
    F. Pantillon, S. Davolio, E. Avolio, and 13 more authors
    Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2024
  9. QJRMS
    The sensitivity of probabilistic convective-scale forecasts of an extratropical cyclone to atmosphere-ocean-wave coupling
    Emanuele S. Gentile, Suzanne L. Gray, and Hugh W. Lewis
    Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2022
  10. BLM
    The impact of atmosphere-ocean-wave coupling on the near-surface wind speed in forecasts of extratropical cyclones
    Emanuele S. Gentile, Suzanne L. Gray, Janet F. Barlow, and 2 more authors
    Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 2021